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Evidence · The claim ledger

Model performance & limits3

Every cited claim this site makes in this evidence area, with the sources that ground it. Source keys link back to the full reference lists on the Evidence Registry.

EmpiricalHow a model scores on data held back from its own training and how it scores at a different site are different quantitie…

How a model scores on data held back from its own training and how it scores at a different site are different quantities. The volume's disability chapter reports a named pair where the second is materially lower than the first. A figure quoted without saying which of the two it is does not tell a reader what the model will do in their setting.

Sources: wang2026a

Appears on: /pan-lab

EmpiricalThe volume's substance-use chapter reports that nearly all models in the field it reviews are developed and evaluated on…

The volume's substance-use chapter reports that nearly all models in the field it reviews are developed and evaluated on a single dataset. Where that holds, a reported ceiling describes that sample rather than a portable capability, and it should be read as the best case observed on one collection of records, not as what the tool will do elsewhere.

Sources: saba2026

Appears on: /pan-lab

EmpiricalDiscrimination statistics such as AUROC, precision, F1 and lift describe how a model separates cases on a labelled sampl…

Discrimination statistics such as AUROC, precision, F1 and lift describe how a model separates cases on a labelled sample. They are not per-interaction rates at which an error is adopted, written into a record, or corrected. The volume's research chapter treats these as different quantities, and they must never be entered into a diagram as though one substitutes for the other.

Sources: yang2026e

Appears on: /pan-lab