Evidence · The claim ledger
Antifragility & benefit-dose (PAN framing)3
Every cited claim this site makes in this evidence area, with the sources that ground it. Source keys link back to the full reference lists on the Evidence Registry.
ConceptualSafety-only alignment establishes a behavioral floor without a ceiling: systems can be 'not-unsafe' yet directionless — …
Safety-only alignment establishes a behavioral floor without a ceiling: systems can be 'not-unsafe' yet directionless — compliant without being constructive — and benefit must be assessed as scaffold versus crutch.
Sources: laukkonen2026
Appears on: /pan-lab, /what-ai-can-do
ConceptualFormally, a system benefits from volatility when its response to a stressor is convex (Jensen's inequality: the expected…
Formally, a system benefits from volatility when its response to a stressor is convex (Jensen's inequality: the expected outcome under variability exceeds the outcome at the average), and is harmed when the response is concave — so whether a shock strengthens or weakens an organization depends on the curvature of its response, a bounded local property that fails beyond a defined stress range.
Sources: axenie2024, taleb2013
Appears on: /pan-lab, /what-ai-can-do
ConceptualRepeatable behaviors follow a dose-response curve — beneficial at low frequency or count and harmful past a hormetic lim…
Repeatable behaviors follow a dose-response curve — beneficial at low frequency or count and harmful past a hormetic limit (the dose beyond which net utility turns negative) — because a fast benefit process is followed by a slower accumulating opposing process, giving AI assistance an optimal bounded dose rather than a monotonic benefit.
Sources: henry2025, calabrese2002
Appears on: /pan-lab, /what-ai-can-do